One
way to retain your sway and hegemony on a particular field, even though you
have lost the lead, is by being the front-runner in framing the rules for that
field. Each time America loses its lead in a particular field of trade or war,
it tries to make up for it by promulgating initiatives for framing rules to
regulate that arena, particularly if that arena has been till date largely
uncharted – and those who have had the chance of engaging with the US
bureaucracy – would be familiar with their internal parlance of “rules of the
road” used to denote the drafting of rules for such uncharted arenas.
And
now vide the Trans-Pacific-Partnership Treaty (TPP), this is exactly what the
US is trying to accomplish. It is framing the “rules of the road” for the
relatively uncharted territory of international seas.
While,
there is no gainsaying the fact, that the international maritime trade is
pretty much under Chinese domination – 80 pct of the steel containers that
liners ferry are made in China – but America continues to the be the dominant
naval power. How long this American hegemony on naval dominance will last is
something that only time will tell. The pace at which Chinese maritime presence
is surging and the manner in which China is muscle flexing in the South China Sea,
it may not be wrong to assume that China is rehearsing for similar dominance in
the Pacific Corridor as well.
Till
about 700 AD, the centre of Maritime trade was to a large extent the Indian
Ocean, and for the next 700 years, China dominated the trade, the theater
shifting from the Indian Ocean to the South China sea. Thereafter, the quest of
the spices, followed by colonial ambitions and zeal to spread Christianity
brought the Portuguese, Spanish, Dutch and then finally English merchants ships
to anchor in Asian sea waters, with Mallaca being often the center of such
trade corridor.
With
the gradual demise and withering away of colonialism, a resurgent and modern
China, still inconsolable about the 100 years of Western domination on its
soil, the concomitant exploitation and opium trade, coupled with the trauma
repeated Japanese ingress, is now finally showing its assertiveness in the
waters of the South China Sea much to the discomfort of Japan, Vietnam and
Philippines.
to be
continued….
True ...but historically China did not try to build any naval power. I believe that China learnt the lesson from colonial exploitation and opium war losses. Also pertinent to note is that Islam played key role in spread of trade. In my personal opinion, religion played the key role in building the trust among trading partners for trading transactions.
ReplyDelete